April 8, 2007
Space tourism and Moore's Law
Five space tourists to date; the price of the trip doesn't seem to have moved much in the last several years, running around $20-25M.
One writeup is titled, "Billionaire tourists in space, next: you and me", but I'm not so certain. Aside from the riskiness of spce travel, it's still expensive enough that even if Moore's Law can be applied, it will take a good 24 years until space is accessible for under $5000 (and still a full 18 years even if you optimistically assume a halving of the cost every 18 months).
Posted by David on April 8, 2007 7:21 PM
Scale plays a role too and I suspect that once the infrastructure is in place the things that were too expensive for just 3 or 5 people will be a lot cheaper for 5,000 to 10,000 at a crack. In my mind the real question is "At what point would the cost come down sufficiently to make Space available to those who would colonize en masse?
Posted by: Small Pink Mouse on April 11, 2007 8:50 PM